Roberto Bautista Agut. Barcelona - Clay. Rafael Nadal. Lucas Pouille. Mischa Zverev. Miami - Hard. Frances Tiafoe. Sam Querrey. Acapulco - Hard. Tennys Sandgren. Buenos Aires - Clay. Albert Ramos-Vinolas. Malek Jaziri. Auckland - Hard. Pablo Carreno-Busta.
Robin Haase. Perth - Hard. Matthew Ebden. Monterrey Challenger - Hard. Ivo Karlovic. Ernesto Escobedo. Sebastian Ofner. Roberto Cid Subervi. Thanasi Kokkinakis. New York - Hard. Cincinnati - Hard. Benoit Paire. Toronto - Hard. Bradley Klahn. Hamburg - Clay. Rudolf Molleker. Bastad - Clay. Casper Ruud. Zdenek Kolar. Wimbledon - Grass. Karen Khachanov. Eastbourne - Grass. Mikhail Kukushkin. Melbourne - Hard. Alexei Popyrin. Doha - Hard.
Miomir Kecmanovic. Davis Cup - I. Filip Krajinovic. I'll write down the estimated probability for the first player to win the match and the odds that I got for my bet. After the match is done, I'll add the results. So every match will be in the same format.
Feel free to tell me your opinion on these estimations. If you think they are too high or too low, I'd be glad to hear your reasons. From 15th of January I will start posting the number of units for each bet. As I finished a big update of the algorithm at the same time, I will start counting from 0 again. Not bad, but this year I hope to achieve a much better performance.
I put a lot of work into the system and will bet more frequently in Good luck! I won't update this table anymore. Nobody is looking at it and it is too much effort. Edit: I will keep this post to update my results, but I will post my new picks in the daily Tennis thread. On paper this algorithm is beating the betting market by a nice margin, but in theory everybody make money. What do you think makes your model different from all other models?
Hope that doesn't sound snarky-- there are just so many who claim to have created a sound model but most were just overfitting data. Obviously it will be amazing if your model is superior. Yeah I agree with everything that you said. Again without intending to sound like a jerk, what would your intention be with this thread?
To allow redditors to tail if they so wish, or promote your algorithm as a service if this "trial" becomes true, or something else? Cool that's fair enough. I have reservations about the effects you will get from your second point though. People don't know what's in your model so the opinions you get will most likely be significantly biased.
It will be cool if someone brings out some variables that you haven't considered yet in your model though, so you're probably right. You're right. Would love to hear success stories-- I am on the boat that I feel I should never attempt anything because I feel "whatever I can do, someone else must be doing already" so I really like seeing exceptions! Have you thought about checking player statistics, like 1st.
So you're saying with your first bet, it's only a 4. Understood, no problem, hope you made money out of it, and I'll keep watching! Why tennis btw? I'd that the only dataset you can get? Plan to do other sports?
I skimmed over the thread and you said you don't have any intentions on selling these tips so I just wonder why you are then also tentative to share the details of your algorithm. Not like I have the time to do anything with it.
I just am confused by that point. You can always try and improve performance by optimizing wager sizes when wagering on "simultaneous" events. Judging by these picks, I'm sure you already know how to properly size your wagers, but it's tough to tell based on simple units.
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|Ferrer vs tsonga betting expert tennis||Our tip : Set 1 Winner: Gasquet. New York - Hard. See betting tips on David Ferrer vs Roger Federer We love betting but we think the industry could be a lot better. Davis Cup - I. Our tip : Nadal. Matthew Ebden.|
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|Betting term sweet||David Ferrer - H2H matches Toronto - Hard. Alexei Popyrin. Citeste mai departe. Our tip : Kevin Anderson. Ivo Karlovic.|
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In 77 minutes, the best lawn player of all time managed the revenge for the defeat at the US Open Federer did not bother with his own service and had only four points to pass after successful first serve. But as a backbeat he did himself for a long time hard and could earn only two break chances in total — both in set two. In turn one he decided with a strong tiebreak, in set two he used one of the two chances and marched into the second round.
The dream of the tenth title win in the Gerry Weber — recently Noventi — Open is within reach. The blow has to get better. At his own serve, he was able to set the pace and let nothing burn. But as soon as the meanwhile year-old Swiss was involved in longer rallies, Federer acted unfamiliar prone to error. Especially in the first round, the error rate was disproportionately high.
The change from red ash to grass took a little time. As the match continued, Federer became more stable and improved. Even so, the best lawn player of all time still has a lot of room for improvement. He was aware of this during the on-court interview.
However, he is also convinced that his performance in the next games on grass will be better. The Swiss is facing a tough fight against Tsonga. The favorite role is of course located in the number three in the world. But as clearly as between Federer and Tsonga odds puts it, the thing is hardly.
For a win against Tsonga, there are only slightly higher odds than in the game against Millman — and Tsonga is certainly on the fast turf more difficult to classify. Ruud , , French Open. The Frenchman Jo-Wilfried Tsonga played just twelve games 5: 7 balance sheet in the calendar year Once again, the now year-old had to miss countless weeks and months due to injuries. The many physical ailments accompany Tsonga in his entire career and prevented even greater success.
Tsonga was already number five in the world ranking, but now he can only be found in 77th place. After all, he seems — at least currently — to have his body under control. In he has been able to play 34 games and has a very satisfactory match record. Last week, Tsonga was in action on grass in Stuttgart and had to beat the Canadian Milos Raonic in three highly competitive sets after a loose win against Mischa Zverev. In the second round, Paire slipped the bat out of hand and decided without further ado to change the sport.
Tsonga made the spontaneous action and instead of tennis, the fans saw a short football delicacy of both actors. Both Tsonga and Paire have a ball feeling not only in the hand, but also in the foot. However, tennis was also played and Tsonga dominated the game from the start. Exactly 70 seconds longer, the Frenchman was on the pitch than Roger Federer. After 78 minutes his 6: 4 and 7: 5 win were fixed.
Tsonga also did not bother with the first serve 31 of 36 points and worked nervously on his breakballs using two out of three chances. In addition, Tsonga recorded no less than 16 aces in his eleven serve games. With a similar performance, Tsonga, who is only in the tournament thanks to a wild card, can certainly make the game tight.
For at least one set win of the French are offered in the game between Federer and Tsonga odds of over 2. Gojowczyk , , , French Open. However, the majority of these duels already a felt eternity back. Since , there was only a single duel between the two, in Monte Carlo At that time, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga was able to prevail in the quarterfinals in three sets.
For Tsonga it was the seventh victory in a direct duel, Federer holds in their eleven victories. The only duel on turf won Tsonga in the quarterfinals of Wimbledon. He managed a great comeback to 0: 2 set backlog. Two players who have the turf cut like a tail. Federer is already considered the best lawn player, Tsonga comes the fast surface with its strong serve and the punchy game also located. Federer won 78 percent of his total service points and converted on one of his two break points.
Federer got 67 percent of his first serves in play and saved his only break point. Federer won 38 of 42 first serve points and had nine aces, a formal that will take him a long way in this tournament if he can repeat it.
Federer hopes to win at least two matches for the 17th straight tournament. Federer has won nine of his last 11 matches on grass court. Wonder who the Top Experts Picked? Click Here To Find Out. These two have played 17 times and Federer has won 11 of those matches.
The most recent meeting was Monte Carlo, a match Tsonga won in three sets. Tsonga has won the last two meetings against Federer and won the only meeting on grass in Wimbledon. Nine of the matches were decided in straight sets. Tsonga is slowly working his way back and will have a chance to win this match if he continues to serve at a high level. Those hiccups is all Federer needs to prevail.
Federer rolls to the quarterfinals. Activities offered by advertising links to other sites may be deemed an illegal activity in certain jurisdictions.
Betting Tips Lucas Pouille. Betting Tips Chardy. Our tip : Andy Murray in straight sets. Betting Tips Andy Murray. Our tip : Andy Murrayin straight sets. Betting Tips Kukushkin. Our tip : Murray to win Betting Tips Kuznetsova. Our tip : Azarenka in straight sets. Betting Tips Nick Kyrgios. Our tip : Nishikori in three sets. Our tip : Serena Williams.
Betting Tips Goffin. Our tip : Raonic. Our tip : Novak Djokovic. Betting Tips Raonic. Our tip : Djokovic. Betting Tips Ferrer. Betting Tips Tomic. Our tip : Andy Murray to win in straight sets. Betting Tips Konta. Our tip : Makarova. Betting Tips J Sousa. Denisa Allertova. Our tip : Konta. Zheng S. Our tip : Konta to win in straight sets.
Betting Tips Groth, S. Our tip : Murray to win in straight sets. Betting Tips Alexander Zverev. Betting Tips V Williams. Our tip : V Williams. Betting Tips Bemelmans. Kyle Edmund. Our tip : Bemelmans. Our tip : Murray Win in straight sets. Betting Tips Edmund. Our tip : Goffin Win in straight sets. Betting Tips Federer. Our tip : Federer in straight sets. Our tip : Djokovic in three sets. Betting Tips Wawrinka. Our tip : Nadal. Betting Tips Coric.
Betting Tips Kvitova. A Radwanska. Our tip : Kvitova. Betting Tips Sharapova. The Mubadala. Melbourne - Hard. Alexei Popyrin. Doha - Hard. Miomir Kecmanovic. Davis Cup - I. Filip Krajinovic. Yasutaka Uchiyama. Paris - I. Rafael Nadal. Jan-Lennard Struff. Matteo Berrettini.
Andrey Rublev. Vienna - I. Dominic Thiem. Antwerp - I. Gilles Simon. Lorenzo Sonego. Orleans Challenger - I. Mikael Ymer. Antoine Hoang. Hugo Nys. Steve Darcis. Metz - I. Aljaz Bedene. Lucas Pouille. Nikoloz Basilashvili. Pierre-Hugues Herbert. Pablo Andujar. Cassis Challenger - Hard. Dudi Sela. Rayane Roumane. Antoine Escoffier. Harri Heliovaara.
New York - Hard. Tennys Sandgren. Montreal - Hard. Washington - Hard. Kyle Edmund. Karen Khachanov. Brayden Schnur. Madrid - Clay. Alexander Zverev. Roberto Bautista Agut.